Bellin argues that MENA states resist democratic reform for
four main reasons. First, civil society is weak in MENA and therefore is in
effective at advocating for democracy. Secondly, the majority of the economy
falls in the hands of the state. Attempts to structurally adjust the economy
have failed because a large portion of the GNP and employment come from the
public sector. The third reason MENA states are unable to become democratic is
because of poverty in MENA states. People are very poor, literacy rates are
extremely low, and inequality is universal. Fourth, the region is
geographically very far from the epicenter of democratization. And she argues
when all else fails there is always the explanation of culture and religion
playing a big role on the MENA regions efforts to be democratic.
I think that after the Arab Revolts in 2011, Bellin’s
arguments still hold true. Although the Arab Revolts added to the conversation
in democratization it didn’t change the conversation. Meaning that many MENA
states are still not considered free and democratic. Those states that were
able to create a democracy, struggle to maintain it because of corruption and
instability. This would suggest that Bellin’s arguments are still relevant. I
think her argument has an exception to the rule is in the case of Tunisia and
Egypt, the center of two revolutions. I think their revolutions can be credited
to the strong presence of civil societies. It is because of the heavy presence
of civil society groups that ideas were able to spread quickly and effectively.
Bellin argues that the reason democracy can’t survive in MENA is because of
small amount of civil society activists. But I think the two instances where
citizens specifically revolted against their government can be credited to a
strong civil society presence. It’s hard to categorize a entire region based on
one overarching argument but her ideas seem to still hold true because MENA is
the least democratic region in the world.
I agree with you in that some parts of her claim are true, while others are disproven by recent movements. I think that your statement about the role of civil societies in the revolts addresses Bellin's claims well.
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